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Super Rugby Week 1: First Look

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BYE WEEKS
Round 3: Bulls, Rebels
Round 4: Force, Stormers
Round 5: Chiefs, Hurricanes
Round 6: Brumbies, Jaguares, Kings, Sunwolves
Round 7: Cheetahs, Crusaders, Lions, Rebels
Round 8: Force, Highlanders, Sharks, Waratahs
Round 9: Blues, Reds
Round 10: Bulls, Hurricanes
Round 11: Brumbies, Kings
Round 12: Chiefs, Stormers, Sunwolves, Waratahs
Round 13: Jaguares, Reds
Round 16: Blues, Crusaders, Highlanders
Round 16: Cheetahs, Lions, Sharks
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Super Rugby - Stormers vs Jaguares

epa06536661 Damian Willemse (L) of the Stormers in action against Nahuel Tetaz Chaparro (R) of the Jaguares during the 2018 Super Rugby match between the Stormers and the Jaguares at Newlands Stadium in Cape Town, South Africa, 17 February 2018. EPA/CHRIS RICCO

What a great first week of Super Rugby. Only two matches, but a tease of what’s to come. More mistakes than you’d hope, which is only to be expected in week 1, but a game full of attacking intent in Capetown, and a super competitive SA derby up at altitude.

Whilst you shouldn’t read too much into one week of super rugby, there’s definitely some interesting take aways with fantasy implications.

(#superrugbyscout inside track: Remember, generally speaking a player’s price will average towards x10 their average points total. For example, a player averaging 30 pts per game over 5+ games will see his price even out at $300k)

Image result for stormers logoStormers – showing plenty of attacking intent at home, much like last year. Players to use when they’re at home, but we’ll have to see if they can improve on their away form. There’s a couple to highlight that we’ll look at shortly. Pretty much across the board good performances.

Image result for jaguares logoJags – can’t tackle for toffee, and still too many penalties. Tread very carefully if you’re thinking about picking any Jags up – personally I wouldn’t pick any – even Creevy. They’ve got another tough game at altitude next week against the lions and then they’re home against the Hurricanes. That’s just not a recipe for loads of points, and you don’t want to be puking team value this early in the season. Nearly all their players scored below their averages, and I expect that to be the case across the next couple.

Image result for lions logoLions – were very, very sloppy and luck to get a win. They have a pretty good opening run, but a lot of players played well below their averages – Whiteley, Rohan JvR, Coetzee,Mostert, and to a certain extent Marx, Jantjies, Cronje. I still like the Lions and I like their run of games, but quite a few of those guys will lose value unless the put up big games against the Jags next week.

Image result for sharks super rugby logoSharks – much like last year, surprisingly competitive given you look at their starting XV and it doesn’t really inspire. WARNING – they have a bye week in week 2 and a few bigger names didn’t perform – Am, Van Der Walt, Esterhuizen. Steer clear of them otherwise all your doing is frittering your money away.

That’s the bad, let’s focus on the good, and the stats table:

Week1.PNG

Willemse – get him in. At the very least on the bench. He was averaging 58 at the end of last year. Even though the Stormers have a tough run – away at the Tahs, then ‘saders and ‘landers, he’ll pop up in value after week 2. Now, the Tahs were terrible last year, and I expect them to be better, but he should still be able to put up a respectable performance and you can debate transferring him out and taking the cash in week 3.

If you’re feeling bold, pick Willemse and Robert Du Preez at FH. After week 2, you should see a nice kick up in price. Obviously Du Preez is on a bye week 2, so make 100% sure you’ve got a FH starting, but with the sharks then at home to the Tahs, he’ll be good in week 3.

There’s a couple of other good bench options. Dyanti showed some real gas and at $112k is a great option to sit on the bench and ride the Lions run of games.

Cameron Wright is also $112k. Not really sure where he got his 23pts, but against a starting SH at rock bottom prices.

Cobus Wiese is a beast of a man. Keep an eye on whether he’ll get the chop when Pieter-Steph comes back, but a very good bench flanker option for $125k

Mapimipi – a popular pre-season pick. Again on a bye in week 2, but if you’ve got 3 solid starting OBKs, then you can bench him, see some price increase and have a decent match up in week 3. Similar plan to Du Preez.

Kwagga – second most expensive flanker in the game. Pretty much hit his price point. I love Kwagga, but he’s just SO expensive. I like Hooper and Ardie over him at their price points, but I was really hoping he’d throw up a brick for a couple of games so his price comes of. Do you pull the trigger on him or not ? One things for sure, I take him over Warren every time.

 

 

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