Last week we had mixed results – overall there were plenty of good picks, but our buy of the week, Faddes, nearly bombed after spending time on the bench, and we didn’t pick out the Ioane’s and weren’t quite high enough on Creevy vs Marx. Whilst Marx was solid, Creevy was insane and it’ll burn even more with Marx benched this week.
There’s a lot of deja vu this weekend, with the picks, so hopefully you followed us last week, and are in it for the next 3-4 weeks of solid performances.
Teams on a BYE: Chiefs, Stormers, Sunwolves, Waratahs.
Teams with Tough Match-ups: With the Crusaders and Hurricanes matching up, two the best defences and the two most prolific attacking sides go head to head. Something’s got to give, and I really have no idea which way it will go. Outside of that Brumbies vs Lions pits the leading sides from respective countries in what will most likely be a tight affair. Other than that it’s the likes of the Bulls, Kings, Force who may struggle, but I really hope no one’s starting their players through choice.
Injury Watch: The biggest name, and someone who could have been a big scorer this week, to be out is SBW. Dagg is still not right, but it doesn’t really seem like the Crusaders have been missing him, let’s be honest.
DON’T TOUCH (SELL)
I’d look to sell Chiefs players as they have a tough line-up after this bye that they are on.
I’m going there. You could look at cashing in on Crusaders. They have two tough games, and whilst they have been excellent, this will define their season. It’s very telling that Crotty’s back. Havili is insanely priced can you could cash in. Other than that just work the injuries and byes.
All Highlanders players as they are playing the Bulls. The Bulls are unfit and clueless. Naholo could be a great captain option this week.
Hurricanes players, after The Crusaders this week they have a pretty easy line-up and if you get rid of a few you might struggle to bring them back in. Boden Barritt being the most precious of the lot in my opinion.
Red Players – If you still have Kerevi he’s moved back to 13 this week and playing The Rebels might be tight but he’ll be sure to get the ball a lot more at his preferred position. The Reds are on a bye next week so make sure you don’t have too many of them.
I’ve with Bossman on the Hurricanes. You have to keep them with their run in, but you might want to play other match-ups this week. They’ll be points, but not for everyone, so most likely only one of Aso/Laumape/Barrett/Savea will delivery the good. I think you have to play Ardie, and it’s very tough to try TJ or Beauden as they’re such big match players.
I’d also echo Bossman with Kerevi. Keep the faith, he’s back at 13 as one of the leakiest defences he should be good this week.
Outside of that if you look at the Top 20 fallers in value last week they’re there for good reason, and plenty of them have been on our sell lists over the last few weeks. If your guys aren’t performing there’s plenty of other options.
Akira Ioane or Rieko Ioane(BLUES) – Playing 70 minutes last week and scoring over 50 points, he’s looking good and against The Cheetahs it could be a very open game.
Mostert(LIONS) – The lock has been scoring over 40 points for the last 3 weeks. I have him already but if you don’t you better consider it as he’s just going up in value too.
Du Preez(SHARKS) – Always heavily involved and scored a try last week, I cant see it being his last try of the season either.
My recommendations here haven’t really changed. The sharks have a good run and you should be loading up on their forwards. The Lions have a tough one this week, then a dream run, so if you need someone not just for a replacement week, but longer term, there’s a good few options. The Highlanders have two decent games so look to the big names there, and the Jags have a great run of home games if you’re prepared to gamble on their selection policy. However, there’s a few gems as well:
Sharks – Beast, Coenie, Van Der Walt, Du Preez are all solid as you like and we’ve been pushing them for a while. I like Am over Van Wyk, but the real gems are Lambie and Ward. If you’re strapped for cash there’s some real value there for a bye week, Ward especially.
Highlanders – again the big names we called out last week, Naholo, Fekitoa, Faddes (yeah that’s right he’s in there). I’d also call out Hunt, been reliable as you like and a great investment. None of that is new for readers of this column and hopefully your well into that investment.
Lions – tough this week so favour the forwards before bring in backs, but Kwagga Smith is starting again. A little risky if he loses his starting spot after this week, but big upside with his sevens skills if he gets a run against some of the weaker teams. Should be ok this week in terms of tackling etc … I also
Hooker – what the hell do you do at hooker if like me you don’t have a premium hooker, enough money, or you see Marx on the bench. Clearly Creevy is the man. I’m still stuck with Ricciteli, who I think is the best value pick until Coles returns. I’m going to hold him just in case he gets a run at the tasty teams. Otherwise it’s a bit of a lottery at hooker this year and you’ve only really got Van the man for the Cheetahs or Josh Man-Rea at the brumbies in that big price gap.
My personal dilema this week is to Ioane or not Ioane after getting burnt for the first few weeks, but as Bossman said, the Blues have a great match-up this week, so if you’ve got squad depth, then you can have a gamble. Luatua has to be better this week, and Tuipolotu will be looking to stake a claim for an ABs jersey. I also think you can plug other holes from the Blues with Pulu, Manu or Big Charlie, and Moala, how could have one of those games at 13.
If you’re feeling bold then take a flyer on Julian Savea this week. He dropped big because of his performance before last game, which he actually did well. It may not pay of this week, but you get one more hurricane in for their run against the cheetahs, bulls, force.