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Fantasy Super Rugby Week 6: Don’t Touch, Pause, Engage.

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BYE WEEKS
Round 3: Bulls, Rebels
Round 4: Force, Stormers
Round 5: Chiefs, Hurricanes
Round 6: Brumbies, Jaguares, Kings, Sunwolves
Round 7: Cheetahs, Crusaders, Lions, Rebels
Round 8: Force, Highlanders, Sharks, Waratahs
Round 9: Blues, Reds
Round 10: Bulls, Hurricanes
Round 11: Brumbies, Kings
Round 12: Chiefs, Stormers, Sunwolves, Waratahs
Round 13: Jaguares, Reds
Round 16: Blues, Crusaders, Highlanders
Round 16: Cheetahs, Lions, Sharks

buy_sell_hold

We’re mixing it up a little this week, as we’ve realized that for the most part transfers out of your team, SELLS, are usually enforced, and rarely do you have the luxury of tactical transfers out. This week, with 4 transfers and 2 of the worst teams on a bye, that’s a bit more of a reality, and it’s the first week where you’ve got a chance to re-balance your squad.

Teams on a BYE: Jaguares, Brumbies, Kings and Sunwolves. That’s not going to be a problem for a lot of fantasy managers.

Teams with tough match-ups: Sharks and Waratahs face the toughest match-ups from a Strength of Schedule perspective, and the Reds and Bulls face the two meanest defences in the competition right now.

Injury Watch: Foley and Senatla are the two biggest names either already on, or potentially on the injury watch this week.

Outside of the above, there’s a few specific players you could look to ship this week:

Don’t Touch (SELL)

Image result for wildcardIf you have Douglas $210k the mysterious number 8, and he doesn’t start this week, he is a sell, take the profits, they are good considering he started at $112K, Read is also not far away from making a comeback!

If you need money it might be time to cash in on Kerevi $540k, the reds have some difficult fixtures coming up with likes of the Hurricane and The Brumbies.

Curwin Bosch $230k He’s a great talent and has done well so far. Unfortunately The Sharks are up against some big teams in the next few weeks. The Springboks are also planning on taking him out of super rugby soon, so he’s gotta go.

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All Reds and Bulls backs, with one exception – see the HOLD section. I also ditch once reliable Snyman $235k & Liebenberg $253k, the best of the forward options for the Bulls.

Sharks backs – I agree with Bossman on Bosch, he’s had a good run, and with the Lions / Jags / Bye and potential Bok junior world cup coming up he might have peaked. The other sharks backs – Am, Van Wyk, Esterhuizen have all been very good value (not including Reinach, who was one of my budget picks, pff …..) – much to my surprise in that ~$300k mark – but I think you start rotating them out this week in favour of returning Kiwi alternatives mentioned below.

The Tahs are highly dependent on Foley’s availability. If he plays this week, I think you can hold Folau $431k / Kellaway $310k / Foley $453k (of course) for another week and ditch them next week when they play the canes. If he doesn’t play, then I think it’s back to mediocrity, and I think Folau’s back on the chopping block in favour of better and more reliable OBK options. Personally I want to see Folau once more at Full Back, he was pretty quiet against the Rebels, but still got 42. He’s going to break out sometime, I just fear it won’t be until week 9, which is a long time to wait.

Pause (HOLD)

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Du Preez $386k – Even though The Sharks have a difficult run of games, this guy makes a boat load of tackles. In the next 2 weeks he’s going to need to playing The Lions and The Jaguares.

Image result for professor x

Kerevi $540k – I disagree with Bossman. I think it’ll be two hard weeks for Samu, but he only needs one rampaging run to smash through 50. I maybe bench him this week if you have cover, or just cross your fingers, but with the Brumbies and Kings up after the canes I don’t want to make an unnecessary sub next week. If you’ve got Higginbotham $339k I also think you keep him and if possible bench him, as he’s been the most reliable of the Reds forwards.

Hooper $342k & Latu $302k – whilst Hooper also ramps up his points with Foley in the team, the harder the game the more tackling these two best forward options for the Tahs will have to do. I think you can hold tight if you need to make transfers elsewhere and these guys should do ok and perform to their value.

Bulls as Bossman highlighted last week, and Sharks I’d only hang on to the Beast $220k, Coenie $235k and Botha $149k, who are good value picks at their positions pretty much regardless of opposition.

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Engage (BUY)

Where as last week, good picks were tough to find, this week, we’re blessed and it’s a case of who to pick. From a team perspective there’s some interesting match-ups:

Highlanders – play the worst team in Super Rugby right now, at their place. They also need back to back wins to get moving up the table in the right direction.

With the Sunwolves on a bye the next leakiest defences behind the Rebels are the Cheetahs (no surprise) and the Waratahs. With the Stormers at Newlands, there’s some scope for points there, and possibly with the Crusaders, but it seems pot luck at the minute as to who’s scoring them.

Based on the above there’s a number of players to highlight:

Image result for wildcardJulian Savea $516k – Its going to be a sunny day in Brisbane and the Hurricanes are going to look to run them ragged with that potent backline of theirs aka try time for Julian.

Rieko Ioane $378k / Moala $298k – The Force are no match for them and if they use their back-line correctly, this game could have a cricket score, risky but these two have gone down in price a lot.

Brodie Retallick $335k If you can afford him, scored 69 2 weeks ago and should do major damage against the Bulls.

Jaco Kriel $499k I know he is on a bye next week but they are playing the Sharks at home and he is in great form. If you can bring him in and bench him or take him out next week I’d do it. At $499K it’s not going to be easy for most managers.

Pieter-Steph du Toit $449k He was rested last week and will be well up for facing the Cheetahs at home.

Image result for professor x

Chiefs, Chiefs, Chiefs. Should destroy the Bulls at home, and whilst they’ll start their tour with a tough one against the Stormers, they then play Cheetahs / Force / Sunwolves. If you don’t have McKenzie $488k, he’s the no 1 priority this week. If  you’ve already got him, then you bring in the big  names – Retalick $335k / Kerr-Barlow $247k / Cane $350k (Cruden $268k + Lowe $431k if fit) – and they can slot into your team for a few weeks. If you’re in need of prop depth you can also pick up Kane Hames at a very cheap $106k. And dependent on injuries, players like Stevenson $106k and Pulu $169k could be bargain pick-ups for a few weeks, dependent on the starting 15 this weekend. The challenge as ever with Chiefs backs, is trying to pick the one that scores, given they share the tries around. Cruden is GREAT value as soon as he gets back from injury.

Hurricanes – The question is not if, it’s who. Ardie $490k is a must, and most good managers already have him. Coles $430k is due a big game, and TJ’s $275k a try machine. If you can afford Laumape $569k, get him in, he’s doing a better job at being Kerevi than Kerevi currently. I then prefer Jordie Barrett $365k playing at full back over Aso $420k on the wing as a centre option. At OBK you’re only option is Savea $516k. Ideally you have / get them all in. I’m teaching you to suck eggs here, and it really depends on what your team needs, your budget, and how many canes you can get in. Surely Beauden’s due a performance as well…… Blade Thompson $220k is about the only value pick if he gets a start.

AT OBK, if you’ve got Mckenzie, then I think it’s then a toss up between Savea $516k and SP Marais for premium back – I mean most of the rest are injured ! I think Marais edges it this week, but the Stormers’ run after the Cheetahs is simply horrible – Chiefs / Lions / Crusaders / Highlanders / Hurricanes. That does not bode well for the backs but …..

……potentially better for forwards. Pieter-Steph $449 / Eben $378k will do damage this week and you should be able to hold them through the tour. Eben’s better value for money currently, and my preferred pick.

Highlanders have been ravaged by injury. Naholo would be a lock this week. As it is Ben Smith $294k SURELY has to turn is around this week and is massively cheap for Ben Smith if you can’t afford the premium OBKs. Dillon Hunt $152k could be a nice bargain for a week or two as a replacement for Backrows on byes if you didn’t bring him in last week. Fekitoa $282k could have a solid couple of weeks as well, if you can’t afford the top end of the centre market.

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